Naples vs Orlando City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naples v Orlando City — Team-Based Signals
Naples 0-1 Orlando City — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City squeezed past Naples 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Naples had 53% of the ball to Orlando City's 47%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 1.78 to 1.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Naples.
What was the final score of Naples vs Orlando City?
Naples 0-1 Orlando City in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naples vs Orlando City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Naples 31%, draw 23%, Orlando City 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.