St. Louis 4-0 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 16 Apr 2026

📅16/04/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 20%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
4.59/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+109% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
41.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.6 Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis
4-0
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.40 xG 0.70
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 8
413 Passes 195
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Louis vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis ran out comfortable winners over FC Tulsa 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Louis as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, St. Louis had 63% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 37%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.40 to 0.70.

What was the final score of St. Louis vs FC Tulsa?

St. Louis 4-0 FC Tulsa in the USA - Open Cup on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split St. Louis 56%, draw 19%, FC Tulsa 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Louis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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