Aurora 0-1 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 16 Apr 2026

📅16/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.86
Over 2.5
37%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
50%
+13.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
50%
-13.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.98/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-27% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Marquense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2026 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
13.10.2025 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
03.08.2025 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense edged past Aurora 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aurora at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aurora and 0.67 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Marquense?

Aurora 0-1 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aurora 43%, draw 30%, Marquense 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aurora) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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