Guangxi Baoyun 0-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
0.86/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.12
-14% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
11.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
11.1 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.95 xG 0.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
255 Passes 274
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-2 HT 0-2 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
26.10.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-2 HT 0-2 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
27.04.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
0-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.43 xG 0.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
344 Passes 288
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi edged past Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Foshan Nanshi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 56% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 44%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.43 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 0.83 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Guangxi Baoyun 0-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 38%, draw 30%, Foshan Nanshi 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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