Nanjing City 2-1 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.5
6+ Goals
11%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.05/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.84
+50% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.0 Crosses 16.2
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
253 Passes 238
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 2-1 HT 1-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
21.04.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-2 HT 1-2 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
20.08.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
20.09.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-2 HT 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
03.09.2022 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
24.09.2021 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 1-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
2-1
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.16 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
163 Passes 221
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City squeezed past Suzhou Dongwu 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Suzhou Dongwu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nanjing City had 45% of the ball to Suzhou Dongwu's 55%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nanjing City and 1.33 for Suzhou Dongwu.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Nanjing City 2-1 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 27%, draw 28%, Suzhou Dongwu 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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