Roskilde 4-2 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.41/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.85
+14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +51%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
15.9 Crosses 22.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Hillerod
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.61 xG 1.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
379 Passes 420
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 5-2 HT 1-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
01.03.2025 Roskilde Roskilde 1-2 HT 1-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
02.08.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-0 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
05.06.2021 Hillerod Hillerod 2-3 HT 2-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
25.09.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
4-2
AWAY Hillerod
1.20 xG 0.85
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
273 Passes 504
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde saw off Hillerod 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hillerod at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Roskilde had 38% of the ball to Hillerod's 62%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.20 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Roskilde and 2.40 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Hillerod?

Roskilde 4-2 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 26%, draw 25%, Hillerod 49%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hillerod) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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