Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOLK
Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima edged past Independiente Medellin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 70% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 30%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 1.45 to 0.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Independiente Medellin.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 38%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin) went the other way.