Karvina 1-3 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.1
Over
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.91
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
22%
2.87
6+
11%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Karvina The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc The Market 48%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.79 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.48
1.43 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.36
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
22.2 Crosses 23.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 285
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2026 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 0-2 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
18.10.2025 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
05.04.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
02.11.2024 Karvina Karvina 2-1 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
25.11.2023 Karvina Karvina 0-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
29.07.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-1 HT 2-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-3
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.70 xG 1.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
333 Passes 290
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sigma Olomouc took care of Karvina 3-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sigma Olomouc as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 52%. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.53, about 65%.

Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in Karvina's favour, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.70 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Karvina against 1.67 for Sigma Olomouc.

Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc Result & Final Score

Karvina 1-3 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Karvina vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Karvina 34%, draw 23%, Sigma Olomouc 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sigma Olomouc), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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