Lecce U20 2-0 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
52%
Away Win
47%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 51%
+21% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.32/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.40
-11% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce U20
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
24 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 3-2 HT 2-2 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 İTAPŞ1
19.04.2025 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 3-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
14.09.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 1-2 HT 0-0 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce U20 got the better of Fiorentina U20 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U20 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lecce U20 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Lecce U20 and 1.67 for Fiorentina U20.

What was the final score of Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Lecce U20 2-0 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lecce U20 26%, draw 22%, Fiorentina U20 52%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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