MSV Duisburg 1-1 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.87
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.6
X/1
22%
4.2
X/2
7%
11.45
X/X
6%
6.27
2/1
7%
20.2
2/2
9%
8.68
2/X
5%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.89/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.01
-3% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
23.6 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 550
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
17.02.2024 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
23.09.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
17.04.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-2 HT 2-2 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
22.10.2022 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
05.03.2022 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Köln
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
384 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg and Viktoria Köln couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was MSV Duisburg at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, MSV Duisburg had 59% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 41%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MSV Duisburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MSV Duisburg and 0.83 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln?

MSV Duisburg 1-1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 54%, draw 21%, Viktoria Köln 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
16 May 2026
14:30 Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim Analysis →
14:30 Jahn Regensburg vs Energie Cottbus Analysis →
14:30 Stuttgart II vs Osnabrück Analysis →
14:30 Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock Analysis →
14:30 Verl vs 1860 München Analysis →
14:30 Wehen Wiesbaden vs Hoffenheim II Analysis →