Ingolstadt 5-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.96
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.57
2-3 Goals
42%
2.13
4-5 Goals
23%
2.39
6+ Goals
10%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.53
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.1
X/1
12%
5.29
X/2
8%
7.82
X/X
9%
6.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.95
2/2
15%
4.62
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.95 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+19.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-19.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.7pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.64/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.73
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.2 Crosses 20.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
187 Passes 338
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2025 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
19.01.2025 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
04.08.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
05.05.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
15.03.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
5-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
310 Passes 445
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt ran out comfortable winners over Waldhof Mannheim 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ingolstadt as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 44% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 56%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.33 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Ingolstadt 5-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 48%, draw 24%, Waldhof Mannheim 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ BTTS Yes
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