Stuttgart II 3-4 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.92
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.47
6+ Goals
11%
5.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.38
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
18.85
1/X
4%
13.55
X/1
10%
8.5
X/2
17%
4.88
X/X
9%
6.55
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
24%
2.31
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.85 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.0pp
52%
Away Win
51%
+0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.3pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.91/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.11
+51% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
11.9 Crosses 22.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Osnabrück
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
347 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
11.03.2025 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 1-2 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
06.10.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
18.03.2016 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
03.10.2015 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
16.05.2015 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart II
3-4
AWAY Osnabrück
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
503 Passes 293
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stuttgart II vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück edged past Stuttgart II 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Stuttgart II had 60% of the ball to Osnabrück's 40%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stuttgart II and 1.00 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Stuttgart II vs Osnabrück?

Stuttgart II 3-4 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart II vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart II 28%, draw 19%, Osnabrück 52%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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