Osnabrück 1-2 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.88
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
9%
4.97
X/2
13%
7.13
X/X
15%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
2/2
12%
5.02
2/X
5%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.06/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.45
-36% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 14.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Stuttgart II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2025 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 1-2 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
06.10.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
18.03.2016 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
03.10.2015 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
16.05.2015 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
21.11.2014 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
1-2
AWAY Stuttgart II
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
213 Passes 361
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart II nicked a narrow win over Osnabrück 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Osnabrück at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Osnabrück had 41% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 59%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osnabrück and 0.50 for Stuttgart II.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Stuttgart II?

Osnabrück 1-2 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 45%, draw 25%, Stuttgart II 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Osnabrück) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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