Hansa Rostock 1-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.48
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
15%
4.75
X/2
9%
8.25
X/X
9%
5.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
21.7
2/2
9%
5.82
2/X
6%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+6.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.77/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.86
-17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
21.2 Crosses 22.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Saarbrücken
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
22.10.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
27.01.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 4-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
26.09.2020 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
25.03.2014 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 2-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
04.10.2013 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
1-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 11
449 Passes 186
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock and Saarbrücken shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hansa Rostock at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 65% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 35%, shots finished 15-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.33 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Saarbrücken?

Hansa Rostock 1-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 56%, draw 20%, Saarbrücken 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hansa Rostock), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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