Rot-Weiss Essen 3-2 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Dec 2025

Rot-Weiss Essen
3-2 HT 2-1
Ulm 1846
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.18
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
10%
4.52
X/2
7%
9.55
X/X
12%
6.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.5
2/2
12%
6.88
2/X
6%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.93/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.78
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.9 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ulm 1846
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-2 HT 0-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
24.09.2023 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3

Rot-Weiss Essen 3-2 Ulm 1846 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
3-2
AWAY Ulm 1846
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
276 Passes 339
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen nicked a narrow win over Ulm 1846 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rot-Weiss Essen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 45% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 55%, shots finished 19-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ulm 1846 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 2.00 for Ulm 1846.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846?

Rot-Weiss Essen 3-2 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 53%, draw 22%, Ulm 1846 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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