Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.34
X/2
11%
7.19
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1
8%
21.8
2/2
18%
4.55
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
2.15/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.47
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
20.5 Crosses 21.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
403 Passes 189
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
43 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
04.08.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
05.05.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
15.03.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
10.09.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
2-2
AWAY Ingolstadt
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
274 Passes 185
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim and Ingolstadt shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 57% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 43%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.17 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs Ingolstadt?

Waldhof Mannheim 2-2 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 41%, draw 22%, Ingolstadt 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
20 Dec 2025
16:00 Hansa Rostock vs Saarbrücken Analysis →
16:00 Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm 1846 Analysis →
16:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Schweinfurt Analysis →
16:00 Osnabrück vs Stuttgart II Analysis →
18:30 1860 München vs Verl Analysis →