Stuttgart II 1-2 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 Mar 2025

Stuttgart II
1-2 HT 1-0
Osnabrück
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Stuttgart II vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 24% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.37
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.51
X/2
10%
5.27
X/X
16%
4.93
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
21%
3.14
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart II v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.21/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.31
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
14.4 Crosses 21.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Stuttgart II vs Osnabrück Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart II
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Osnabrück
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
18.03.2016 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
03.10.2015 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
16.05.2015 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
21.11.2014 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
12.04.2014 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3

Stuttgart II 1-2 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart II
1-2
AWAY Osnabrück
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
268 Passes 441
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stuttgart II vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück edged past Stuttgart II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Osnabrück found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Stuttgart II had 39% of the ball to Osnabrück's 61%, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Stuttgart II and 1.50 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Stuttgart II vs Osnabrück?

Stuttgart II 1-2 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart II vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart II 33%, draw 28%, Osnabrück 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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