Unterhaching 1-2 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 Mar 2025

Unterhaching
1-2 HT 1-2
Verl
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Unterhaching vs Verl Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.48
1/2
6%
24.7
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
8%
6.55
X/2
15%
5.2
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
22%
3.12
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Unterhaching v Verl — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.34/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.8 Crosses 15.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Unterhaching vs Verl Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Verl
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
220 Passes 512
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Verl Verl 2-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
03.02.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-0 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
02.09.2023 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
14.03.2021 Verl Verl 2-1 HT 2-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
12.01.2021 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-4 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3

Unterhaching 1-2 Verl — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
1-2
AWAY Verl
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
440 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl squeezed past Unterhaching 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Verl as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Unterhaching had 60% of the ball to Verl's 40%, shots finished 19-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Verl led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Unterhaching and 1.60 for Verl.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Verl?

Unterhaching 1-2 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated an Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 28%, draw 29%, Verl 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Over 2.5
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