Ingolstadt 0-3 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 Mar 2025

Ingolstadt
0-3 HT 0-1
Alemannia Aachen
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
4.01
6+ Goals
13%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.5
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.27
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
11%
4.3
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.28
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Alemannia Aachen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.59/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.30
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 68%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.9 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
385 Passes 167
76% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
08.04.2012 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-3 HT 1-2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
23.10.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-1 HT 2-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
06.03.2011 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 2-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
17.10.2010 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
20.02.2009 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2

Ingolstadt 0-3 Alemannia Aachen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
0-3
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
331 Passes 226
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen ran out comfortable winners over Ingolstadt 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 57% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 43%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.67 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen?

Ingolstadt 0-3 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 41%, draw 25%, Alemannia Aachen 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt)
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