Verl 3-0 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.13
2-3 Goals
40%
2.08
4-5 Goals
27%
2.45
6+ Goals
11%
5.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.75
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
6%
12.4
X/X
7%
7.64
2/1
7%
18.0
2/2
8%
8.64
2/X
6%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-2.0pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
2.00/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.11
+0% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.4 Crosses 10.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
3W-1D-2L
AWAY 1860 München
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
591 Passes 226
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2025 1860 München 1860 München 0-2 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
10.05.2025 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
14.12.2024 1860 München 1860 München 0-4 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
24.02.2024 Verl Verl 0-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
30.09.2023 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
19.02.2023 1860 München 1860 München 0-3 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
3-0
AWAY 1860 München
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
594 Passes 290
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Verl vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl swept aside 1860 München 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Verl as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Verl had 64% of the ball to 1860 München's 36%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Verl had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Verl and 0.67 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Verl vs 1860 München?

Verl 3-0 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Verl 62%, draw 19%, 1860 München 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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