Verl 2-2 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.77/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.30
+9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.7 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
2W-0D-4L
AWAY 1860 München
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
599 Passes 254
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 1860 München 1860 München 0-4 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
24.02.2024 Verl Verl 0-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
30.09.2023 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
19.02.2023 1860 München 1860 München 0-3 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
13.08.2022 Verl Verl 0-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
04.03.2022 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 2-0 Verl Verl AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
2-2
AWAY 1860 München
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
566 Passes 204
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Verl vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl and 1860 München couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Verl at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Verl had 69% of the ball to 1860 München's 31%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Verl and 0.83 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Verl vs 1860 München?

Verl 2-2 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Verl 44%, draw 27%, 1860 München 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Verl), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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