Alemannia Aachen 4-2 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.56
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.35
X/1
13%
6.57
X/2
17%
5.23
X/X
9%
4.81
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.19
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 1/X at 13.35 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 45%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
0.40/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.21
-69% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.9 Crosses 16.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Saarbrücken
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
189 Passes 423
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
07.08.2012 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
29.03.2006 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-5 HT 2-2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
09.09.2005 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 4-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL2
20.03.2005 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 0-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
24.10.2004 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-1 HT 2-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
4-2
AWAY Saarbrücken
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
296 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen beat Saarbrücken 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Alemannia Aachen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 47% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 53%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.00 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Saarbrücken?

Alemannia Aachen 4-2 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 34%, draw 27%, Saarbrücken 40%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
10 May 2025
15:00 Waldhof Mannheim vs Dynamo Dresden Analysis →
15:00 Verl vs 1860 München Analysis →
15:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Sandhausen Analysis →
15:00 Hansa Rostock vs Energie Cottbus Analysis →
17:30 Ingolstadt vs Wehen Wiesbaden Analysis →