Ingolstadt 2-3 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.53
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
3.0
6+ Goals
16%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.9
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
19%
5.19
X/2
8%
6.99
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1
9%
22.45
2/2
16%
4.58
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.29/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.17
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.7 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.88 xG 2.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
271 Passes 312
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-5 HT 0-2 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
04.03.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 4-1 HT 2-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
27.08.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-3 HT 2-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
13.03.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 HT 1-2 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
06.11.2020 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4-1 HT 3-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
28.05.2019 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-3 HT 1-3 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
2-3
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
273 Passes 431
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden squeezed past Ingolstadt 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 41% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 59%, shots finished 14-24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ingolstadt and 2.33 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Ingolstadt 2-3 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 42%, draw 25%, Wehen Wiesbaden 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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