Erzgebirge Aue 2-3 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -29%
1.51/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.83
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.3 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.72 xG 1.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
249 Passes 300
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 4-6 HT 1-3 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
24.01.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
23.08.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 1-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
05.02.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
22.08.2021 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
20.03.2021 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
2-3
AWAY Sandhausen
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
11 Corners 2
518 Passes 236
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Erzgebirge Aue vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen nicked a narrow win over Erzgebirge Aue 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Erzgebirge Aue at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 66% of the ball to Sandhausen's 34%, shots finished 18-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.83 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Sandhausen?

Erzgebirge Aue 2-3 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 43%, draw 26%, Sandhausen 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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