FSV Zwickau 1-0 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+7.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.8pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 34%
+31% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.08/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.69
+23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2025 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
24.11.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
10.03.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau nicked a narrow win over Chemie Leipzig 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FSV Zwickau as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FSV Zwickau and 0.50 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Chemie Leipzig?

FSV Zwickau 1-0 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Zwickau win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 53%, draw 20%, Chemie Leipzig 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Zwickau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FSV Zwickau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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