Aubstadt 4-0 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.3pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.79/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.01
-15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
4 Corners 12
07.11.2025 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-3 HT 2-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
26.04.2025 Bayreuth Bayreuth 3-0 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
12.10.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
09.03.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-2 HT 0-2 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
29.08.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-0 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt cruised past Bayreuth 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aubstadt as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aubstadt and 1.83 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?

Aubstadt 4-0 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 57%, draw 20%, Bayreuth 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aubstadt), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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