Illertissen 2-1 Schwaben Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.72
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
14%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
54%
+14.0pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.9pp
14%
Away Win
24%
-10.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.4pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.89/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.97
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +76%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Schwaben Augsburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.11.2025 Schwaben Augsburg 2-2 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
04.04.2025 Illertissen Illertissen 1-1 HT 1-1 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
27.09.2024 Schwaben Augsburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen edged past Schwaben Augsburg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Illertissen had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Illertissen and 1.00 for Schwaben Augsburg.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Illertissen 2-1 Schwaben Augsburg in the Germany - Regional League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 68%, draw 17%, Schwaben Augsburg 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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