Muharraq 1-0 AAli FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
74%
-0.4pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.6pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY AAli FC EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.34/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.80
+22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
483 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
2W-1D-0L
AWAY AAli FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2026 AAli FC AAli FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
26.05.2025 AAli FC AAli FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
14.02.2025 Muharraq Muharraq 4-0 HT 2-0 AAli FC AAli FC BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
1-0
AWAY AAli FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs AAli FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq nicked a narrow win over AAli FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Muharraq had 58% of the ball to AAli FC's 42%, shots finished 19-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Muharraq and 0.33 for AAli FC.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs AAli FC?

Muharraq 1-0 AAli FC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs AAli FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 74%, draw 16%, AAli FC 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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