Al Najma 1-3 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 16 May 2026

Al Najma
1-3 HT 0-1
Khalidiya
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs Khalidiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
19%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
58%
Away Win
58%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v Khalidiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 62%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.24/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.82
+22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Al Najma vs Khalidiya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Khalidiya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.01.2026 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
16.05.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
18.01.2025 Al Najma Al Najma 1-3 HT 1-2 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
22.04.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
08.11.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 1-1 HT 1-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
09.04.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 0-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya beat Al Najma 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Najma and 2.17 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Khalidiya?

Al Najma 1-3 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 16%, draw 26%, Khalidiya 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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