Sitra 1-0 Malkiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 16 May 2026

Sitra
1-0 HT 1-0
Malkiya
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Sitra vs Malkiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
46%
1.7
4-5 Goals
15%
4.1
6+ Goals
6%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 33% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
16%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sitra v Malkiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Malkiya EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.26/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.10
+17% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sitra vs Malkiya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Malkiya
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.01.2026 Malkiya Malkiya 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
11.05.2025 Malkiya Malkiya 0-1 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
09.01.2025 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-1 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
16.05.2022 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 1-0 Malkiya Malkiya BAH
02.09.2021 Sitra Sitra 2-5 Malkiya Malkiya BAHFK

Sitra 1-0 Malkiya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
1-0
AWAY Malkiya
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra squeezed past Malkiya 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sitra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sitra had 43% of the ball to Malkiya's 57%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sitra and 1.20 for Malkiya.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Malkiya?

Sitra 1-0 Malkiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Malkiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sitra 32%, draw 29%, Malkiya 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malkiya), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malkiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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