JaPS 0-1 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.45/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.06
+16% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KTP Kotka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-2 HT 1-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
05.07.2024 JaPS JaPS 0-0 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
03.05.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-0 HT 0-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
27.01.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
09.09.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 6-0 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINY
22.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-1 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
0-1
AWAY KTP Kotka
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JaPS vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka squeezed past JaPS 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, JaPS had 58% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 42%, shots finished 4-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JaPS and 2.17 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of JaPS vs KTP Kotka?

JaPS 0-1 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split JaPS 25%, draw 25%, KTP Kotka 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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