Odisha FC 2-3 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
9.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 30% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
45%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
11%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.4pp
61%
Away Win
71%
-9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 75%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.05/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.63
+71% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% /
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 84%
11.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
12.8 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Punjab FC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.79 xG 1.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
466 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Odisha FC Odisha FC 0-3 Punjab FC Punjab FC HINSK
10.02.2025 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
20.09.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
02.04.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
26.12.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
2-3
AWAY Punjab FC
1.69 xG 1.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
243 Passes 370
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 34
5 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Punjab FC edged past Odisha FC 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Punjab FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Odisha FC had 42% of the ball to Punjab FC's 58%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 1.69 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Odisha FC and 1.40 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Punjab FC?

Odisha FC 2-3 Punjab FC in the India - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 14%, draw 25%, Punjab FC 61%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Punjab FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✗ BTTS No
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HİNSL More India - Super League
16 May 2026
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