Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 May 2026

Cerezo Osaka (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Parceiro Nagano (K)
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.34
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Cerezo Osaka (K) win — 72% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
70%
+2.2pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.6pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerezo Osaka (K) v Parceiro Nagano (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.97
+26% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.3

Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
31.08.2025 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
10.05.2025 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
16.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
12.05.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL

Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) and Parceiro Nagano (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Cerezo Osaka (K) carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka (K) had 55% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 45%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cerezo Osaka (K) and 2.00 for Parceiro Nagano (K).

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 72%, draw 15%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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