Omiya Ardija (K) 0-4 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.47/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.54
+120% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +138% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2025 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
01.03.2025 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
22.09.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
24.03.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0-4
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) cruised past Omiya Ardija (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 50% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 50%, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Omiya Ardija (K) and 0.50 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-4 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 46%, draw 23%, Nojima Stella (K) 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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