Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 39%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.97/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.87
-28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2026 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
26.09.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
13.07.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
19.06.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
16.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
22.09.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai nicked a narrow win over Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Banga Gargzdai made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dziugas Telsiai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 0.50 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga Gargzdai?

Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dziugas Telsiai win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 36%, draw 30%, Banga Gargzdai 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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