Banga Gargzdai 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 31%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +22%
0.59/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.93
-56% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
13.07.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
19.06.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
16.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
22.09.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
06.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai squeezed past Banga Gargzdai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Banga Gargzdai at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 0.33 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Banga Gargzdai 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 46%, draw 27%, Dziugas Telsiai 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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