FK Panevezys 2-1 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
58%
+6.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.47/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.57
-24% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -43%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Riteriai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
01.08.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-3 HT 0-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
17.05.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
05.04.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 3-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
02.09.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
30.06.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
2-1
AWAY FK Riteriai
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys nicked a narrow win over FK Riteriai 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Panevezys as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 61% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 39%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.83 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs FK Riteriai?

FK Panevezys 2-1 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 65%, draw 21%, FK Riteriai 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Panevezys) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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