FK Panevezys 0-1 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
12%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
64%
+4.9pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.8pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 18%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.76/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.32
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Riteriai
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-3 HT 0-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
17.05.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
05.04.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 3-1 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
02.09.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
30.06.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
29.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-1 HT 0-1 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Riteriai nicked a narrow win over FK Panevezys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. FK Panevezys carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.83 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs FK Riteriai?

FK Panevezys 0-1 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 69%, draw 18%, FK Riteriai 12%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Panevezys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ BTTS No
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