FA Siauliai 1-3 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.31/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.23
-18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
27.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
18.05.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 HT 2-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
05.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
24.08.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 4-1 HT 3-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
23.06.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
1-3
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai beat FA Siauliai 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 51% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 49%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.00 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Banga Gargzdai?

FA Siauliai 1-3 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 52%, draw 23%, Banga Gargzdai 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FA Siauliai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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