Banga Gargzdai 1-0 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.39/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.24
+9% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FA Siauliai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
18.05.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 HT 2-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
05.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
24.08.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 4-1 HT 3-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
23.06.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
28.04.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1-0
AWAY FA Siauliai
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai nicked a narrow win over FA Siauliai 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 45% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 55%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.33 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Banga Gargzdai 1-0 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 34%, draw 23%, FA Siauliai 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FA Siauliai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Under 2.5
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