Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.42/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.18
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -55%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
06.04.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
06.10.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
19.07.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
25.05.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
06.04.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
0-1
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen squeezed past Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 53% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 47%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.33 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 25%, draw 29%, Hegelmann Litauen 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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