Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.59/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.49
+31% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
06.10.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
19.07.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
25.05.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
06.04.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
17.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen edged past Dziugas Telsiai 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.33 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 47%, draw 28%, Dziugas Telsiai 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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