Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒17:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 36%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+83% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
314 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
22.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 HT 4-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.07.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
19.05.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
31.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
24.09.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3-0
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris ran out comfortable winners over Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kauno Zalgiris found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 50% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 50%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.17 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 37%, draw 27%, Zalgiris Vilnius 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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