Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 31%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.03/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.10
-10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 HT 4-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.07.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
19.05.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
31.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
24.09.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
27.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-5 HT 0-3 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
0-0
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius and Kauno Zalgiris fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 51% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.83 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 41%, draw 25%, Kauno Zalgiris 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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