Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.95/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.76
-28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -62%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
19.05.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
31.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
24.09.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
27.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-5 HT 0-3 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
24.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
5-0
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius swept aside Kauno Zalgiris 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 69% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 31%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.33 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Zalgiris Vilnius 5-0 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 52%, draw 23%, Kauno Zalgiris 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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