Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
0.60/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-47% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
18.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
30.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 4-2 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
21.10.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
07.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-2 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
03.06.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2-2
AWAY FK Panevezys
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen and FK Panevezys couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann Litauen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 55% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 45%, shots finished 19-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.83 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys?

Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 41%, draw 30%, FK Panevezys 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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