FA Siauliai 0-5 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.95
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
74%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.29
Over 2.5
68%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
2.03
No
41%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
10%
+3.9pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.7pp
73%
Away Win
74%
-1.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
40%
-7.6pp
68%
Over 2.5
60%
+7.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
45%
+13.6pp
41%
BTTS No
55%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 79%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
1.25/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.82
+68% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
217 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 564 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
20.08.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-2 HT 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
23.05.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
29.03.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-3 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
21.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris cruised past FA Siauliai 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FA Siauliai and 2.67 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FA Siauliai 0-5 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 13%, draw 13%, Kauno Zalgiris 73%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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