Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 16%
-35% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.82/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.68
-56% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-3 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
15.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
21.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITK
01.07.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
12.05.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
17.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3-0
AWAY FA Siauliai
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris cruised past FA Siauliai 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 57% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 43%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.33 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 55%, draw 24%, FA Siauliai 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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