Banga Gargzdai 1-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.47/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.62
+14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
15.09.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
29.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
11.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
16.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
27.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai and FK Panevezys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 56% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 44%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.00 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Banga Gargzdai 1-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 29%, draw 33%, FK Panevezys 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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