FK Panevezys 1-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.32/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.07
+22% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.09.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
29.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
11.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
16.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
27.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
25.06.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
1-1
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys and Banga Gargzdai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 52% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 48%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Panevezys and 1.00 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

FK Panevezys 1-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 41%, draw 33%, Banga Gargzdai 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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